A location based services rant, part IIPosted on January 6, 2008
Back in the day, Wired ran an article called “Netheads vs. Bellheads“. It was an interesting read, but I didn’t fully grasp how wide the cultural divide was until I went to work for a Telco. When Alexander Graham Bell got his prototype working, the first thing he did was patent it. Telephony has been around for roughly 120 years and it has always been about making money. Making lots of money. Data networks on the other hand, came from the academic world. If you are a CEO, your peers will judge you based on how much money your company is making. If you are an academic on the other hand, you are judged on how much you publish, the quality of your publications and, as a result, how often your research is cited and by whom. Respect based on how rich vs how clever you are; very different yardsticks indeed!
Cellcos are businesses; they are in it to make money. The Telco heritage, while somewhat diluted, is still a part of their DNA: you make the money by controlling the service from end-to-end. Because North America lags the rest of the industrialized world in cellphone adoption, the Cellcos have been able to achieve good growth rates simply by signing up new subscribers and selling voice minutes. In Europe and even more so in Asia, everyone who was going to use the service has long since signed up for it. In order to keep growing their businesses, operators had two choices: steal market share from rivals or grow the pie by offering services beyond basic voice. That’s why consumers in Europe and Asia currently enjoy better pricing and more data services than we do. As the growth rate of cellphone adoption slows here, I expect to see our operators start to offer more competitive data packages and new services to go along with them. So hopefully, it is just a matter of time before they get serious about LBS.
Hackers (and academics) are usually the first ones to experiment with new ideas and technologies. They are driven by their desire to grok new technologies, an itch that needs to be scratched and, lets face it, their egos, which can be both good and bad. It’s good when you create something new or build a better mousetrap which you share with the world, so that all will appreciate just how clever you are. It’s bad when it leads to arrogance. In my experience the “I am smarter than everyone else” attitude is fairly rare. Unfortunately the “We are smarter than them” seems to be widespread, with “We” being the hackers and netheads, the people from the computer world and “Them” being anyone from the Telecom side of the fence. If you don’t believe me, just look at some of the comments in forums and on blogs concerning Telcos, Cablecos and Cellcos. Or better yet, ask your local hacker what he thinks of Bell.
Hackers have such low opinions of the Telecom folks, that they will do anything to avoid them. I’ve spoken to a number of developers working on applications that are positioning dependent and you would not believe the hoops they jump through to avoid dealing with Cellcos. When you point out that their product would be much simpler to use, more reliable and reach a thousand times more people by partnering with a carrier you typically get the following responses:
“Carriers are too hard to work with” (Have you ever tried?)
“They move to slow” (True. Why aim for 500 000 customers next year, when you can sign up 300 on your own this year?)
My personal favorite though is “They just don’t get it”. Seeing how the Internet has been mainstream for several years now, is it reasonable to think that senior executives at multi-billion dollar companies have below average reasoning abilities and market understanding? I don’t think so. I do believe they have serious constraints imposed upon them by the regulators, the need to leverage legacy assets, obligations to current customers, shareholders and employees and the inertia that exists in any large organization. I think they are painfully aware that pretty soon everyone and her dog will own a cellphone in Canada, yet Bay Street will demand evermore growth in revenues and profits. I think that anyone who can show them how they can add a fresh revenue stream, that doesn’t cannibalize existing services and allows them to maintain control of the customer relationship will be richly rewarded.
Operators see hackers as these crazy yahoos who want to give everything away for free. Hackers see operators as dinosaurs who fear change. Neither of these views is accurate and I think the best way to change them is to connect on a personal level first. That’s why I am pleased that some people in Montreal have taken it upon themselves to organize a local chapter of Mobile Mondays. There has been tremendous activity in the local tech startup scene in the past year and Montreal has a wealth of cellular talent, so lets get both groups chatting in an informal setting and I am certain good things will come of it.
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Regarding the dinosaurs, I think they are not doing anything new as they are old, will retire soon and don’t want to mess with their retirement plan. Then again, I could be wrong
Business culture is another thing. I worked in several “types” of businesses and some execute things much faster than others. Some are scared of change, others live through change.
Mobile Mondays sounds like a great idea.
“the need to leverage legacy assets” - is that commonly accepted business strategy? Because that sounds disturbingly close to the fallacy of sunk costs, a costly cognitive bias.
I’ll confess to having a very low opinion of telco’s. Their rates, service and customer service experience has been horrid for as long as I can remember. That’s not to say the execs are all stupid. It would be nice to meet some of them to see what can be done despite the obvious organizational inertia.
@daniel: your opinion is based on your experience as a consumer, but senior managers at Telcos aren’t trying to please you, they are trying to please their investors! Now in most markets there is a fairly strong link between customer satisfaction and a company’s financial performance. That’s not necessarily the case if there are few alternatives to a service perceived to be essential.
By the way, BCE had a net income of $2B last year (par for the course) and yet Teachers still decided to take them private. I doubt service will be improving anytime soon…
Daniel, I think you make an interesting and important point (several, in fact), but I don’t think the problem that people have with mobile carriers is totally unfounded. Both statements made by execs and the carriers’ behaviour - particularly related to pricing - clearly indicates an unwillingness to move towards more open (end-to-end) services based not on revenue projections but on some kind of value judgement.
In other words, they do things in certain ways not because it will serve their shareholders better but because tradition and history suggests that there is a “right” and a “wrong” regardless of the financial impact of one decision or another.
I don’t have the numbers at my fingertips (though I have done some real research on this in the past), but if you compare the uptake of data plans in Canada to the US, Canada is clearly far behind the US - and this is very likely to be largely related to pricing issues.
Furthermore, I believe that the Canadian carriers are leaving significant revenues on the table by defining data plans as a) a businessperson-only requirement and b) something that reduces them to being dumb pipes.
In this analysis, the carriers are basically saying, “forget about the ascension of the end-to-end principle represented by the Internet, we DESERVE to mediate data connections and meter every individual transaction rather than opening up access at reasonable rates.”
That’s not a financial decision - that’s a value judgement. And making that kind of judgement stifles innovation and reduces consumer choice. Canada is clearly ready for a massive adoption of data plans - but they’re simply not accessible at this time. I don’t think regulatory or shareholder value excuses are sustainable anymore.
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